A reaction-coordinate profile helps predict which bonds are mostly intact, partly broken or partly formed at a transition state. The key comparison is with the two stable states immediately adjacent to that transition state.
Two energy differences answer different questions
The reaction free-energy change, , compares products with reactants. The forward activation free energy, , compares the transition state with reactants. A downhill reaction can still have an appreciable barrier. The reaction coordinate describes molecular rearrangement; it is not a clock.
Translate energy proximity into a structural prediction
Hammond reasoning predicts that neighboring states close in energy tend to be similar in structure. An exergonic elementary step is commonly described by an early, reactant-like transition state; an endergonic step by a late, product-like one. “Early” and “late” refer to structural progress, not a measured time or a numerical fraction of a bond.
Consider a hypothetical one-step process with reactants at 0, products at +40 and the transition state at +55 kJ/mol on the same free-energy scale. The transition state is 15 kJ/mol above the product but 55 above the reactants. A product-like structure is therefore the qualitative prediction. The forward barrier is 55 kJ/mol, whereas the reaction free-energy change is +40 kJ/mol. These are illustrative values, not experimental data.
Turn the prediction into a useful sketch
For a hypothetical bond-cleavage step with that profile, draw a strongly elongated A–B contact and substantial developing opposite charges. Do not write an exact bond length or assign exact partial charges from energy proximity alone.
In a multistep mechanism, repeat the comparison for each peak and its neighboring minima. The overall product may be far removed from the step being analyzed. A useful final check is to label both adjacent states, the barrier and the reaction energy before making the structural prediction.
Related question
Apply this knowledge
Use the concept guide to understand the reasoning, then return to the complete question and worked answer.
Hammond Postulate: Energy and Transition-State Structure in HCl AdditionSources
These references support the core concepts and interpretation boundaries explained above.